John Bercow, the Commons Speaker, may struggle to hold his seat as Conservatives angry at outspoken comments by his wife threaten to defect to the UK Independence Party.
Frankly, when presented with the choice between a man who is entirely unambiguous on his feelings about the EU (feelings many Conservative voters will share) and a man who was elected as speaker by Labour and who at times has looked likely to move across the aisle and join them, who do you think they will vote for? Everywhere else, Conservative grass-roots can get behind "their" candidate and help make this an election that the Labour party will never forget. In Buckingham not only is there no official Conservative candidate (by convention), but there's someone standing against the incumbent who Conservatives can feel shares their values and will stand up for what they believe.
The fact that Mrs Farage isn't standing for the Labour party doesn't hurt either...
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